Science 2.0 (change will happen ...) by Jean–Claude Burgelman, David Osimo, and Marc Bogdanowicz. First Monday, Volume 15, Number 7 - 5 July 2010:
As we have tried to show in this paper, science will undergo deep changes in the years leading up to 2030, and the speed of change is likely to accelerate. In particular, we envisage that the proliferation of scientific authorship, fragmentation of research output, and increased availability of data will lead to:
* A more unequal distribution of influence, with increased resources being concentrated on a few world–class and star researchers and research centres;
* A disruption of the value chain of scientific production, with a particular difficulty for publishers to maintain their role as “gate–keepers”;
* A blurring of the boundaries between scientific and cultural production;
* A new model of science, thanks to unprecedented data availability, where correlation supersedes causation;
* An increased importance of reputation, and the adoption of more open reputation management systems for scientific careers; and,
* An increased need for scientists to communicate to diverse audiences.